Week 6 NFL Picks: AFC West-leading Chargers head east to face Baltimore – The Denver Post
Game of the week
L.A. Chargers at Baltimore
The Chargers are a 3 1/2-point underdog and traveling to the East Coast, but the Ravens are playing after a short week/overtime game. Baltimore is No. 1 in offense (440.6 yards per game) and the Bolts are seventh (411.4). These teams will meet again in the AFC playoffs.
Ravens 29, Chargers 24
Lock of the week
Kansas City at Washington
This could be a track meet because the Chiefs are last in points allowed (32.6) and WFT is 31st (31.0). Kansas City is a 6 1/2-point favorite and even if it is the best team in the AFC West, they are 2-3 and two games behind the Chargers. Translation: Washington (2-3) has a big problem.
Chiefs 42, Washington 21
Upset of the week
Cincinnati at Detroit
The Bengals should be on letdown alert after losing last week’s measuring stick game to Green Bay in overtime. Detroit has too many close losses (0-3 in one-possession games) to suggest it is an inferior club and coach Dan Campbell gets his first win.
Lions 23, Bengals 20
Around the AFC
Class of the NFL. How did Buffalo lose to Pittsburgh in Week 1 … at home? Whatever the reason, that game served as a wake-up call for the Bills, who have won by 35, 22, 40 and 18 points to show they are the AFC’s and NFL’s best team. The Bills are a whopping plus-11 in turnover differential; Dallas is next-best at plus-7. Buffalo, which plays at Tennessee on Monday night, leads the NFL in scoring (34.4 points per game) and fewest points allowed (12.8).
Huh, Urban? It wouldn’t be a week without Jaguars coach Urban Meyer making a befuddling comment. Following a loss to Tennessee to fall to 0-5, Meyer said his goal is to reach 250 yards passing and 250 yards rushing per game. A trip to Pro Football Reference revealed only 52 games since 1940 in which an offense achieved at least 250-250. The Broncos have done it twice — in a 1976 win over the New York Jets (292 passing/251 rushing) and a 2005 win over Philadelphia (309/251). Meyer is London’s problem this weekend — the Jaguars make their annual trip abroad to host the disappointing Dolphins.
Colts still in it. Indianapolis (1-4) is one of seven teams with at least four losses. We can eliminate Miami, the Jets, Houston, Jacksonville, the Giants and Detroit from playoff consideration. But not the Colts because they play in the AFC South. They have two games apiece against the Texans and Jaguars and matchups with the Jets, Patriots and Raiders. If they beat Tennessee at home and steal another game, 9-8 may win that division. Quarterback Carson Wentz played well against Baltimore, completing 25 of 35 passes for 402 yards and two touchdowns.
Around the NFC
Seahawks in trouble. Seattle is 2-3 — bad news in the ultra-competitive NFC West in which Arizona is 5-0 and the Rams 4-1. Seattle is without quarterback Russell Wilson (finger surgery) — really bad news because he will miss his first game since entering the league in 2012. And Seattle is awful defensively — the worst news. The Seahawks are the ninth team since the merger to allow an average of at least 450 yards in their first four games (450.8 per game — worst in the NFL). By comparison, Buffalo is first at 251.8. The Seahawks aren’t good enough to help fill-in quarterback Geno Smith have consistent success. Seattle plays at Pittsburgh on Sunday night.
Winning despite no yards. Chicago is somehow 3-2 after winning at Las Vegas last Sunday. The Bears rank last in the NFL in yards (240.0; Miami is next-worst at 261.8), yards per play (4.15; the Dolphins are next at 4.36) and passing yards per game (113.9; New Orleans is next at 169.4) and 30th in points per game (16.8). But the next four games will test rookie quarterback Justin Fields — vs. Green Bay, at Tampa Bay, at Pittsburgh and vs. Baltimore. Bears coach Matt Nagy is 1-5 vs. the Packers.
Cowboys rolling. Dallas has won four consecutive games since losing in Week 1 at Tampa Bay and quarterback Dak Prescott could be a dual winner of Comeback Player of the Year and Most Valuable Player. Prescott is second in passer rating (116.9) and tied for third in touchdowns (13). The Cowboys, who play at New England on Sunday, rank in the top three in seven offensive categories, including yards (second, 439.6) and points (34.0) per game.
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